Kasashen Ketare

Indiya za ta wuce China a wannan makon a matsayin kasa mafi yawan jama’a a duniya – MDD

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Ana sa ran kasar Sin za ta ragu a kai a kai zuwa kusan mutane biliyan daya a karshen wannan karni, bisa hasashen MDD.

Indiya za ta zarce China a matsayin kasa mafi yawan jama’a a duniya a cikin mako mai zuwa, wanda ya kai kusan mutane biliyan 1.43, in ji Majalisar Dinkin Duniya a ranar Litinin.

Ma’aikatar tattalin arziki da zamantakewa ta Majalisar Dinkin Duniya ta ce, “A karshen wannan watan, ana sa ran yawan mutanen Indiya zai kai mutane 1,425,775,850, wanda ya yi daidai da yawan al’ummar kasar Sin.”

A makon da ya gabata rahoton Majalisar Dinkin Duniya na shekara-shekara ya ce matakin zai zo tsakiyar shekara ta 2023.

Indiya ce ke kan gaba a China saboda saurin karuwar yawan jama’arta da kuma raguwar China bayan da ta kai biliyan 1.426 a bara.

An yi la’akari da kasar da ta fi yawan jama’a a duniya tun bayan faduwar daular Rum a karni na 5 AZ, ana sa ran kasar Sin za ta ragu sosai zuwa kusan mutane biliyan daya a karshen wannan karni, bisa hasashen MDD.

Bayanai na China ba su haɗa da Taiwan, Hong Kong ko Macau ba.

A halin yanzu, yawan jama’ar Indiya “kusan tabbas” zai ci gaba da karuwa a cikin shekaru masu zuwa, a cewar Majalisar Dinkin Duniya.

Hasashen tsakiyar Majalisar Dinkin Duniya yana ganin Indiya ta kai biliyan 1.5 a tsakiyar karni – kodayake jami’ai sun jaddada cewa na iya yin kasa sosai ko mafi girma.

Faduwar kasar Sin tana da nasaba da shekarun da suka gabata na kiyaye ka’idojin haihuwa ga ma’aurata, wanda ya kare a cikin 2016.

Ban da wannan kuma, ana danganta saurin bunkasuwarta da tsadar rayuwa da karuwar yawan matan kasar Sin dake shiga aikin yi da neman ilimi.

A shekarar da ta gabata, yawan haihuwa na kasar Sin ya ragu zuwa daya daga cikin mafi kankanin matakai a duniya, inda aka haifi 1.2 ga kowace mace.

Ga Indiya, wacce ta dauki tsawon lokaci fiye da China don samun karuwar yawan jama’a a karkashin kulawa, adadin haihuwa ya kasance 2.0 na haihuwa kowace mace, kasa da matakin maye gurbin 2.1.

Amma duk da haka kasashen biyu na da kusan matakin haihuwa, a kasa da haihuwa shida kowacce mace, a shekarar 1970, in ji John Wilmoth, darektan Sashen Al’umma da Sashen Tattalin Arziki da Zamantakewa.

“Ya ɗauki shekaru uku da rabi kafin Indiya ta fuskanci raguwar haihuwa iri ɗaya da ta faru a China cikin shekaru bakwai kawai a cikin shekarun 1970,” in ji shi.

Babban dalilin da ya haifar da bambance-bambancen shi ne manufar Beijing ta ‘ya’ya daya; Wani kuma shi ne ƙaramin jarin jarin ɗan adam na Indiya da kuma raguwar haɓakar tattalin arziƙin a cikin shekarun 1970 da 1980, a cewar Majalisar Dinkin Duniya.

Wilmoth ya ce dalilin da ya sa rahoton yawan jama’a a makon da ya gabata ya ce Indiya za ta zarce China a tsakiyar shekara shi ne cewa tana amfani da hasashen da aka yi kan bayanai a bara.

Hasashen da aka sanar Litinin ya dogara ne akan ƙarin bayanan kwanan nan – kodayake har yanzu tsinkaya ne, Wilmoth ya jaddada.

“Ba a san takamaiman lokacin da wannan rikici ya faru ba kuma ba za a taba saninsa ba,” kamar yadda ya shaida wa manema labarai.

Yawan tsufa Da Ayyuka

Dole ne kasashen biyu su fuskanci yawan tsufa cikin sauri, China fiye da Indiya.

Indiya na fuskantar manyan kalubale wajen samar da wutar lantarki, abinci da gidaje ga al’ummarta da ke karuwa, inda da yawa daga cikin manya-manyan garuruwanta da tuni ke fama da matsalar karancin ruwa, gurbacewar iska da ruwa, da kuma cunkoson jama’a.

Fiye da kasar Sin ya haskaka kalubalen da firaminista Narendra Modi ke fuskanta na samar da ayyukan yi ga miliyoyin matasa dake shiga kasuwar aiki a duk shekara.

A halin da ake ciki tattalin arzikin kasar Sin na kara fuskantar kalubale wajen cike mukamai saboda yawan tsufa.

Beijing ta ce a makon da ya gabata an tsara dabarunta na kasa “domin mayar da martani ga yawan tsufa, da inganta manufar haihuwar yara uku da matakan tallafawa, da kuma mai da hankali kan sauye-sauyen ci gaban jama’a.”

“Raba yawan jama’a na kasar Sin bai ɓace ba. Rarraba masu hazaka na samun tsari, kuma ci gaban ya kasance mai karfi,” in ji kakakin ma’aikatar harkokin wajen Wang Wenbin.

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